Saturday, September 22, 2012

Market Still In Profit Taking Mood

Stock
Buy Below
Current Price
Target Price
Average Cost
Return
BDO
60.00
60.90
81.00
60.10
1.30%
ALI
20.00
24.00
22.50
-
-
PGOLD
24.00
30.00
30.00
-
-
EDC
6.00
6.07
8.50
5.94
2.20%
TEL
2,600.00
2,810.00
3,000.00
-
-
AGI
11.00
13.40
15.00
-
-
MBT
94.00
91.00
105.00
93.3433
(2.50%)













PSEi continues to go down as traders lock in the profits. Anemic Chinese manufacturing data and Japanese exports triggered the fall of Asian market shares.

China’s manufacturing activity contracted in September for the 11th straight month, though at a slightly milder pace than in August, preliminary data showed Thursday, with one economist saying the result suggested some stabilization for the critical sector1.

Japan's global exports tumbled for a third straight month in August amid growing uncertainties about overseas demand, particularly from China and Europe, data from the Ministry of Finance showed Thursday2.

PX lost by 6.44% yesterday amid the selling spree caused by MVP’s statement that the company’s profit may dropped to P1.5-1.7B3. In addition, The Sen. Enrile and Sen. Trillanes saga dragged PXP (a PX subsidiary) into the limelight after Sen. Enrile read the notes of former Philippine Ambassador to Beijing Sonia Brady meeting with Sen. Trillanes. It said that Pangilinan wanted to create an event to divert attention from Reed Bank because the gas find there was not substantial (contrary to Forum Energy’s claim that it contained the country’s largest gas deposit, a volume way bigger than Malampaya’s)4.

I bought at 14.82 after watching the price hovers between 15-16 pesos per share. RSI is oversold already. I expect a bounce next week in anticipation of the 3rd quarter window dressing and take profits. My cutloss is 14.5.

Value of shares traded is P5.3B. Foreigners are net buyers worth P32M today.

INDEX TOP GAINERS
TICKER
LAST PRICE
%
ALI
24.00
2.56%
BPI
78.60
1.95%
AGI
13.40
1.82%
MER
261.20
1.63%
URC
63.95
0.87%

INDEX TOP LOSERS
TICKER
LAST PRICE
%
PX
14.82
6.44%
GLO
1,136.00
3.73%
MPI
4.11
2.38%
BDO
60.90
1.93%
MEG
2.21
1.34%

BDO- the foreigners net sold P64M. Total traded value is P135M. Traders took profit from the recent  rally and BDO was not spared.

It is nearing the buy below 60 now. Let’s see if we can buy more of BDO stocks next week.

ALI- the foreigners net bought P28M. The favorite stock of the foreigners is still quite high.

If I have ALI right now, I will sell it. Its way over my target price already.

PGOLD- the foreigners net bought P20M.

PGOLD likes to lounge in the 29-30 price level. At this point, if I have this, I will sell it. Way too expensive for me.

EDC- the foreigners net bought P86K. That is not a mistake, net bought is P86K.

It’s an even battle between the foreigners as they slug it out on where to take this stock. The bulls won this time.

TEL - the foreigners net sold P23M.

The profit taking continues for TEL. The company has been in a downward movement for the past four days and it doesn’t look good for those who bought above 2,900.

For the bottom fishers and investors with buy below price, this is welcome development.

AGI – the foreigners net bought this stock with P135M. The buying spree continues...

MBT - the foreigners still net sold this stock with P164M.

Among the stocks I have chosen, MBT is at the receiving end of the continued selling of the foreigners. For the first time in six months, it is on the verge of breaking its 130 day MACD. It is hanging by a thread now and a red on Monday could trigger the downfall of MBT below 90.

Monday will be the day.

Source: PSE, COL data


Note: This is not a solicitation to buy. Buy at your own risk.

I trust God. I am not afraid. What can mortals do to me? Psalm 56:11

No comments:

Post a Comment