Current Speculative Stock Portfolio
Stock | Buy Below | Current Price | Target Price | Actual Price Bought | Actual Return |
PHES | .63-.68 | .68 | 2.70 | - | - |
BHI | .11 | .171 | .145 | .1705 | 0.29% |
Historical Speculative Stock Portfolio
Stock | Date Sold | Price Bought | Price Sold | Actual Return | Remarks |
PHES | Sep 3’12 | .6625 | .67 | 1.13% | Profit |
BHI – this stock has momentum. I transferred my holdings from PHES to BHI for quick profits.
PHES – will get back on this once the volume increases or price goes to near .63 again.
Only the market will tell if the switch I made will yield to profits or not.
Before the runup started on Aug 9, 2012, the net volume bought by brokers is tepid. The top 3 Brokers before the runup were Abacus, Westlink and Yao while SB Securities on the other hand continue to unload the shares.
AB Capital, SB Securities, and BDO Securities are the top 3 buyers during the runup while Angping and Tower Sec are the top two sellers.
As of June 30, 2012 Angping has 25M shares plus 8.5M shares bought from Jul 3 to Aug 31 for a total of 33.5M shares. It sold 164M shares from Jul 3 to Aug 31! Where the shares came from? I think it came from investor/s that has an account with one broker and then transferred it to Angping to avoid the obvious selling he/they are doing. By the end of September though, a new list for the top 100 stockholders will be disclosed and from that we can check from what broker the shares came from.
What I am seeing is that the crowd is just following the momentum that BHI has during its ascent to .18. What had transpired last Friday is that RSA’s airport plan has made punters to speculate that BHI’s massive land bank will be a target SMC’s land bank acquisition for airport, seaport, residential and industrial district.
It rocketed to the moon for three days starting Aug 9, 2012. It consolidated for a while and then on Friday was up again because of the conglomerate rumors.
As disclosed already by BHI, the target of the conglomerate is to amass 10,000 hectares to build for its projects in Cavite. Puerto Azul is in Cavite and that made the punters to run up the price of BHI.
THE TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK
Be alert on Tuesday for a price runup. If the market tried to let it fly, ride it. This requires attentiveness for the whole day. One minute off the ticker and you die. I buy at the open and raise my support stop at 5% profit. I’ll ride it though the next day if it ends up in green.
Sep 3 – observations. There was a 41M volume at .17 prices and it was broken by investors from COL. JP Guilds continue to acquire shares in the market.
BEFORE THE RUNUP (JUL 3-AUG 8, 2012)
TOP BUYERS
Symbol | Name | Net Buy Volume | Buy Ave | Amount |
102 | ABACUS SECURITIES | 35,220,000 | 0.126 | 4,444,764 |
270 | WESTLINK GLOBAL | 25,750,000 | 0.140 | 3,592,125 |
275 | YAO & ZIALCITA, INC. | 20,400,000 | 0.140 | 2,851,920 |
147 | E. CHUA CHIACO | 17,870,000 | 0.133 | 2,373,136 |
279 | BDO SECURITIES CORP. | 14,870,000 | 0.116 | 1,718,972 |
154 | EVERGREEN STOCK | 13,220,000 | 0.132 | 1,741,074 |
136 | TRITON SECURITIES | 11,650,000 | 0.130 | 1,512,170 |
267 | FIRST METRO SECURITIES | 8,170,000 | 0.131 | 1,067,002 |
TOP SELLERS
Symbol | Name | Net Sell Volume | Sell Ave | Amount |
115 | SB SECURITIES,INC. | (176,490,000) | 0.134 | (23,684,958) |
220 | ATR KIM ENG SECURITIES | (18,570,000) | 0.119 | (2,200,545) |
DURING THE RUNUP (AUG 9-31, 2012)
TOP BUYERS
Symbol | Name | Net Buy Volume | Buy Ave | Amount |
112 | AB CAPITAL SECURITIES, | 37,620,000 | 0.148 | 5,548,950 |
115 | SB SECURITIES,INC. | 33,530,000 | 0.150 | 5,039,559 |
279 | BDO SECURITIES CORP. | 29,060,000 | 0.151 | 4,385,154 |
200 | MANDARIN SECURITIES | 26,100,000 | 0.160 | 4,170,780 |
269 | WEALTH SECURITIES, INC. | 20,970,000 | 0.143 | 2,994,516 |
125 | JAKA SECURITIES | 18,560,000 | 0.168 | 3,108,800 |
236 | R. NUBLA SECURITIES, IN | 17,270,000 | 0.154 | 2,659,580 |
192 | STRATEGIC EQUITIES | 17,100,000 | 0.165 | 2,812,950 |
233 | R. COYIUTO SECURITIES, | 16,560,000 | 0.159 | 2,631,384 |
167 | AURORA SECURITIES, INC. | 13,890,000 | 0.162 | 2,255,736 |
TOP SELLERS
Symbol | Name | Net Sell Volume | Sell Ave | Amount |
110 | ANGPING & ASSOCIATES | -155,420,000 | 0.148 | (23,048,786) |
253 | TOWER SECURITIES, INC. | -44,000,000 | 0.160 | (7,026,800) |
338 | PHILIPPINE EQUITY | -40,000,000 | 0.150 | (6,016,000) |
230 | QUALITY INVESTMENT | -15,600,000 | 0.145 | (2,268,240) |
147 | E. CHUA CHIACO | -15,480,000 | 0.155 | (2,396,304) |
232 | ALAKOR SECURITIES | -15,000,000 | 0.172 | (2,580,000) |
199 | LUY S SECURITIES | -10,000,000 | 0.173 | (1,727,000) |
240 | S.J. ROXAS & COMPANY | -9,800,000 | 0.143 | (1,403,360) |
247 | STANDARD SECURITIES | -8,730,000 | 0.150 | (1,312,992) |
129 | SINCERE SECURITIES | -8,730,000 | 0.148 | (1,294,659) |
ON THE SIDELINES
Top ten brokers not included in the top sellers/buyers from Jul 3-Aug 31, 2012 but has significant shares on hand are as follows:
Name | As of June 30, 2012 |
COL | 436,909,966 |
CITIBANK | 101,560,000 |
FIRST METRO | 67,990,000 |
VALUE QUEST | 57,560,000 |
E. CHUA CHIACO | 51,150,000 |
SOLAR SECURITIES | 46,730,000 |
IGC SECURITIES | 43,890,000 |
EASTERN SECURITIES | 41,450,000 |
I. ACKERMAN | 40,760,000 |
HDI SECURITIES | 40,060,000 |
TOP HOLDERS (ESTIMATED HOLDINGS)
Symbol | Name | Net Buy Volume Jul 3-Aug 31 | Ave Price | As of June 30, 2012 Volume | Estimated Volume |
102 | ABACUS SECURITIES | 41,860,000 | 0.140 | 260,472,584 | 302,332,584 |
279 | BDO SECURITIES CORP. | 43,930,000 | 0.146 | 167,520,000 | 211,450,000 |
236 | R. NUBLA SECURITIES | 21,420,000 | 0.149 | 114,010,000 | 135,430,000 |
270 | WESTLINK GLOBAL | 32,400,000 | 0.143 | 82,830,000 | 115,230,000 |
269 | WEALTH SECURITIES | 21,900,000 | 0.143 | 92,510,000 | 114,410,000 |
103 | ACCORD CAPITAL | 11,880,000 | 0.154 | 82,580,000 | 94,460,000 |
112 | AB CAPITAL | 38,000,000 | 0.146 | 41,510,000 | 79,510,000 |
111 | ANSALDO, GODINEZ | 12,590,000 | 0.157 | 66,310,000 | 78,900,000 |
233 | R. COYIUTO | 18,360,000 | 0.156 | 42,520,000 | 60,880,000 |
204 | DA MARKET | 12,900,000 | 0.140 | 47,800,000 | 60,700,000 |
INSIDERS TRADING ACTIVITY
Date | Acquired /Disposed | Average Selling price | Company | Owner | # of Shares | % of Ownership | # of shares owned | |||
Aug 31, 2012 | Acquired | 0.1543 | BHI | JP Guilds | 30,250,000 | 56.39% | 4,492,633,408 | |||
Aug 23, 2012 | Acquired | 0.1398 | BHI | JP Guilds | 10,140,000 | 56.01% | 4,462,383,408 | |||
TOP SELLERS (ESTIMATED SELL SHARES)
Symbol | Name | Net Buy Volume Jul 3-Aug 31 | Ave Price | As of June 30, 2012 Volume | Estimated Volume |
110 | ANGPING & ASSOC | (155,400,000) | 0.148 | 25,330,000 | (130,070,000) |
338 | PHILIPPINE EQUITY | (40,000,000) | 0.150 | - | (40,000,000) |
240 | S.J. ROXAS & COM | (9,500,000) | 0.143 | 230,000 | (9,270,000) |
232 | ALAKOR SECURITIES | (15,000,000) | 0.172 | 6,950,000 | (8,050,000) |
230 | QUALITY INVE | (9,460,000) | 0.145 | 35,840,000 | 26,380,000 |
253 | TOWER SECURITIES | (46,530,000) | 0.159 | 84,800,000 | 38,270,000 |
199 | LUY S SECURITIES | (10,000,000) | 0.173 | 75,210,000 | 65,210,000 |
220 | ATR KIM ENG | (10,870,000) | 0.136 | 88,950,000 | 78,080,000 |
115 | SB SECURITIES,INC. | (142,960,000) | 0.140 | 2,489,693,000 | 2,346,733,000 |
CHARTS
P.S. Do not try this because it is very risky. It can wipe out your capital. I am doing this because I am comfortable with what I am doing whether at a loss or profit.
No comments:
Post a Comment