Monday, October 7, 2013

Why Philippines Never Incurred a Government Shutdown?

Currently, the US Government shuts down. Not that the government totally stops functioning. Portion of the government services were temporarily halted until the budget is passed.

The US Government has incurred 17 shutdowns technically but the major shutdown of recent memory is during the Bill Clinton administration which lasted for 28 days, the longest shutdown.

If US Government has incurred a lot of shutdowns already, why does the Philippines never incurred a government shutdown?

According to our 1987 Constitution, Article VI,  Section 25 (7) states “If, by the end of any fiscal year, the Congress shall have failed to pass the general appropriations bill for the ensuing fiscal year, the general appropriations law for the preceding fiscal year shall be deemed reenacted and shall remain in force and effect until the general appropriations bill is passed by the Congress.

Our constitution specifically stated that in case the Congress failed to pass the budget for the ensuing year, the preceding budget will be used. This is the reason why the Philippine Government never incurred a shutdown.

Why can’t the US do the same? The tried through a continuing resolution but did not materialize. A continuing resolution is a legislation to continue funding the federal government at pre-approved levels until a new budget is enacted.

The Senate controlled by Democrats wants a “clean” continuing resolution which means that the previous budget will be used without any strings attached. On the other hand, the House of Representative controlled by Republicans wants a continuing resolution but with provisions to delay the Obamacare and repeal the tax on medical devices.

The US Senate and House of Representative cannot agree on the continuing resolutions, hence the shutdown.

The Philippines government does not need a continuing resolution in case our Congress failed to pass the national budget. The preceding budget will be used automatically. Conversely, the US needs a continuing resolution.
http://budgetngbayan.com/summary-of-allocations/#
Sources: www.policymic.com, www.gov.ph

Sunday, October 6, 2013

Why is the US Government Shutting Down?

First and foremost, the US Government did not collapse. It is not the end of the world for the Americans. The US Government Budget shuts down because the Congress which involves the House of Representatives and Senate failed to pass a budget for the FY October 1, 2013 to September 30, 2014.

The US Constitution mandates that “No money shall be drawn from the Treasury, but in Consequence of Appropriations made by Law”.  Appropriations and Law creation are functions of the Congress. When Congress failed to pass the budget request of the president, the government shuts down.


What are the Processes to have a US Gov't Budget? 

The federal government fiscal year begins on October 1 and ends September 30.

The president submits a budget request to the Congress no earlier than the first Monday in January, and no later than the first Monday in February for the succeeding fiscal year.

Once the congress receives the requested budget, the United States House Committee on the Budget (House of Representative) drafts a budget resolution. Simultaneously, the United States Senate Committee on the Budget (Senate) does the same.

Once the budget resolutions of the House and Senate were passed at their respective floors, selected members from each House negotiate to reconcile the differences of their respective budget resolutions through a conference report. This conference report must be approved by both the House and Senate. The approved budget will be sent to the President for his signature. The President however, can veto the Congress approved budget but the Congress can override the veto if 2/3 of the Congress voted to let the budget move forward.

Mandatory Spending
Certain expenditures are not affected by the US Government shutdown because they are protected by specific laws. These certain laws authorize the applicable federal agencies to continue operating indefinitely or for a specific period. Contained in these laws are permanent appropriations (funding) which become automatically available every fiscal year regardless whether a federal budget is passed or not.

Actual mandatory spending for FY 2011 is $2.025 trillion and accounted for 56% of total federal expenditure.

Mandatory spending includes Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, MERHCF, Children’s Health Insurance Program, SNAP, Unemployment compensation, Supplemental Security Income, Earned income and child tax credits, Temporary Assistance for Needy, Child nutrition, Foster care, Making Work Pay and Other Tax Credits, Civilian and Military Retirement, Veterans Income security, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Deposit Insurance, Higher education, Agriculture and Others.


Essential Services Continue

In a government shutdown, not all employees are getting furlough. There are 1.3 million essential civilian employees who continue to work despite the shutdown. However, if the shutdown continues until October 15, their paychecks will be delayed.

Active service military members will get paid no matter how long the shutdown lasts because the Congress passed a bill guaranteeing them of a paycheck even during shutdowns. President Obama signed it into law.

Here is a partial list of essential employees:

·         Any employee or office that "provides for the national security, including the conduct of foreign relations essential to the national security or the safety of life and property." That means the U.S. military will keep operating, for one. So will embassies abroad.

·         Any employee who conducts "essential activities to the extent that they protect life and property." So, for example: Air traffic control stays open. So does all emergency medical care, border patrol, federal prisons, most law enforcement, emergency and disaster assistance, overseeing the banking system, operating the power grid, and guarding federal property.

·         Agencies have to keep sending out benefits and operating programs that are written into permanent law or get multi-year funding. That means sending out Social Security checks and providing certain types of veterans' benefits. Unemployment benefits and food stamps will also continue for the time being, since their funding has been approved in earlier bills.

·         All agencies with independent sources of funding remain open, including the U.S. Postal Service and the Federal Reserve.

·         Members of Congress can stick around, since their pay is written into permanent law. Congressional staffers however, will also get divided into essential and non-essential, with the latter getting furloughed. Many White House employees could also get sent home.


Non-essential Services Shuts Down

The non-essential services are the functions of the government which without a budget cannot function.

The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) recently ordered the managers of federal agencies to conduct reviews to see which employees are essential or non-essential. Employees classified as non-essential will be furloughed.

Furloughed is a temporary unpaid leave due to special needs of a company. A government shutdown resulted in non essential employees getting furlough.    

Here is an example of employees getting furlough:

Department of Commerce: 87 percent of the agency's 46,420 employees would be sent home. (The Weather Service would keep running, for instance, but the Census Bureau would close down.)

Department of Defense: 50 percent of the 800,000 civilian employees would be sent home while all 1.4 million active-duty military members would stay on. (Environmental engineers, for instance, would get furloughed, and the agency could not sign any new defense contracts.)

Department of Energy: Thanks to multi-year funding, parts of the agency can actually operate for "a short period of time" after Sept. 30. But eventually 69 percent of the agency's 13,814 employees will be sent home. (Those in charge of nuclear materials and power grids stay. Those conducting energy research go home.)

Environmental Protection Agency: 94 percent of the 16,205 employees will be sent home. (Those protecting toxic Superfund sites stay. Pollution and pesticide regulators get sent home.)

Federal Reserve: Everyone would stay, since the central bank has an independent source of funding.

Department of Health and Human Services: 52 percent of 78,198 employees would be sent home. (Those running the Suicide Prevention Lifeline would stay, those in charge of investigating Medicare fraud would go home.)

Department of Homeland Security: 14 percent of the 231,117 employees would go home. (Border Patrol would stay. Operations of E-Verify would cease. The department will also suspend disaster-preparedness grants to states and localities.)

Department of Housing and Urban Development: 95 percent of the 8,709 employees would go home. (Those in charge of guaranteeing mortgages at Ginnie Mae would stay, as would those in charge of homelessness programs. Almost everything else would come to a halt.)

Department of Interior: 81 percent of the 72,562 employees would be sent home. (Wildlife law enforcement officers would stay, while the national parks would close.)

Department of Justice: 15 percent of the 114,486 employees would go home. (FBI agents, drug enforcement agents, and federal prison employees would stay. The department would continue running background checks for gun sales. Some attorneys would go home.)

Department of Labor: 82 percent of the 16,304 employees would be sent home. (Mine-safety inspectors will stay. Wage and occupational safety regulators will go home. Employees compiling economic data for the Bureau of Labor Statistics will also get furloughed.)

NASA: 97 percent of the 18,134 employees would be sent home. (Scientists working on the International Space Station will stay. Many engineers will go home.)

U.S. Postal Service: Everyone would stay, since the Postal Service is self-funded.

Social Security Administration: 29 percent of the 62,343 employees would be sent home. (Claims representatives would stay; actuaries would go home.)

Supreme Court and federal courts. Federal courts, will continue to operate for approximately two weeks with reserve funds. After that, only essential employees would continue to work, as determined by the chief judge, with the rest furloughed. (The Supreme Court will continue to operate when it opens Oct. 7, as it did in previous shutdowns.)

Department of Treasury: 80 percent of the 112,461 employees will be sent home. (Those sending out Social Security checks would stay; IRS employees overseeing audits would go home.)

Department of Transportation: 33 percent of the 55,468 employees will get sent home. (Air-traffic controllers will stay on; most airport inspections will cease.)

Department of Veterans Affairs: 4 percent of the 332,025 employees would go home. (Hospital workers will stay; some workers in charge of processing benefits will go home.)


Why the House and Senate are at Odds with One Another?

The US congress is composed of the House of Representative and the Senate. Both are distinct and separate legislative body. A budget cannot be passed without the concurrence of both bodies.

The current gov't shutdown is due to the disagreement over the budget between the House of Representative controlled by the Republicans and Senate held by the Democrats. This impasse leads to a budget not getting passed.

At the heart of the House and Senate impasse is Obamacare. Republican controlled House wants to delay or defund Obamacare. The Democrat majority Senate wants to remove those provisions in the budget, and so is President Obama. Remember, President Obama is a Democrat.

Republicans and Democrats have their own political ideology. Here are some of the differences:


Democrat
Republican
Philosophy:
Liberal
Conservative
Economic Ideas:
Favor minimum wages and progressive taxation i.e. higher tax rates for higher income brackets.
Believe taxes shouldn't be increased for anyone (including the wealthy) and that wages should be set by the free market.
Stand on Military issues:
Decreased spending
Increased spending
Stand on gay marriage:
Support (some Democrats disagree)
Oppose (some Republicans disagree)
Stand on abortion:
Should not be made illegal; support. Roe v. Wade (some Democrats disagree)
Should not be legal; oppose Roe v. Wade (some Republicans disagree)
Stand on Death penalty:
While support for the death penaltyis strong among Democrats, opponents of the death penalty are a substantial fraction of the Democratic base.
A large majority of Republicans support the death penalty.
Social and human ideas:
Based on community and social responsibility
Based on individual rights and justice
Traditionally strong in states:
California, Massachusetts
Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas
Symbol:
Donkey
Elephant
Color:
Blue
Red
Founded in:
1824
1854
Website:
www.democrats.org
www.gop.com
Senate Leader:
Harry Reid
Mitch McConnell
Chairperson:
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Reince Priebus
Famous Presidents:
Franklin Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, Bill Clinton, Woodrow Wilson, Jimmy Carter
Abraham Lincoln, Teddy Roosevelt, Ronald Reagan, George Bush, Richard Nixon


Sources:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/31/1105
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_budget
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_budget_process
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mandatory_spending
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL33074.pdf
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/09/30/absolutely-everything-you-need-to-know-about-how-the-government-shutdown-will-work/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/federal-eye/wp/2013/09/18/omb-to-agencies-start-making-shutdown-plans/ 
http://www.gao.gov/legal/lawresources/antideficiencybackground.html
http://www.diffen.com/difference/Democrat_vs_Republican

Tuesday, October 1, 2013

A Banner Year for the Philippines...

Miss World – Megan Young

Megan Young, our representative to the Miss World beauty pageant held in Indonesia was recently crowned as Miss World 2013. This is the first time that a Filipina won this event. After 62 years of excruciating agony hoping to hold that magic wand, sit in the golden chair, and wear that diamond crusted crown, we can finally say “Yes, we did it!” Or should we say, Megan Young did it for us.  
photo by Murdani Usman, Reuters

Her hard work, sacrifice and passion carried us on to win the event. Once again, we are beaming with pride and honor. Before the pageant, she posted on her official Miss World - Philippines Facebook account, Sa aking mga kababayan, huwag kayong mawalan ng pag-asa. May bukas pa at may laban pa tayo. Taas noo tayong lalaban pero tayo’y magpakumbaba pag dating sa ating mga salita. Buong puso ko at puso niyo ang lumalaban dito. Itong laban na ito ay para sa ating lahat. Sana makapagbigay inspirasyon ako sa lahat ng Pilipino katulad rin ng aking mga iniidolo na lumaban para sa bansa. Laban, Pilipinas.” Yes, Megan. Your fight is our fight. Your battle is our battle. Together, as one united Filipinos, you as our representative and we as your avid supporters with undying fervor to support you, we can overcome the hurdles and challenges in the international competition.

More importantly, the win mirrors the resiliency of the Filipinos who in spite of their struggles continues to endeavor to be triumphant and victorious in the game of life.

To Megan Young, thank you for bringing honor and pride to our country. You did inspire all of us. Kay sarap maging Pilipino, taas noo kahit kanino.  

Source: Rappler

2nd Place, FIBA Asia 2013


The victory of Smart Gilas over South Korea is still fresh in my memory. The fearless drives of Jason Castro, the clutch three point shots of Jimmy Alapag and jumpers of Ranidel, the hustle of Marc Pingris and the passion of the Filipinos.

I watched the encounter through streaming videos. It’s a little bit blurred but enough to see the action and recognize the players. Besides, this is a game where we can take off the monkey on our back and reassert ourselves in the world basketball. It’s about damn time that we should beat this pesky and sweet shooting Koreans. With 20,000 plus screaming fans supporting our players inside the Mall of Asia , the family’s moral support, and the 90 million plus rooting and praying to beat the Koreans, this is the best opportunity to finally exorcise the demons against the Koreans.
photo credit: FIBA Asia/Nuki Sabio
Korea was ahead 28-23 when Douthit got injured halfway through the second quarter. Wow, can you believe that? Our main man in the middle was gone! I felt right there that our chances of winning got diminished.

But the players never gave up. Who could forget the daredevil drives of Jason Castro in the opening of third quarter? He is one of the smallest on the court and yet he stands tall amongst them. Ping muscled his way under the rim against taller Koreans to rebound, defend and score. At the end of 3rd quarter, we’re up by 9 points.

And then it happened. With over four minutes remaining, that Korean player with a tomahawk hairstyle (Lee Seung-Jun) dunked the ball to give the Koreans a one point lead. Oh boy, here we are again! Those demons just won’t go away. Those heartbreaking losses resurfaced again in my head. No, this ain’t happening!

Less than a minute to go, Philippines is up by two.  Jimmy dribbled his way to the left side and shot a three, a form we are too familiar watching in PBA. He nailed it and we’re up by five points. The ensuing play is a blocked of Norwood against a Korean shooter. As the final seconds ticked away, people start hugging one another as tears flows. Coach Chot sobs at the sidelines, some players jumped in joy; others knelt down savoring the liberation of winning against South Korea.

The historical importance of the win cannot be overemphasized. For decades, we are the kings of Asia. From 1936 to 1972, we represented Asia in Olympic basketball except for one. Since then, we’ve never been in the world.

We’ve never beaten South Korea in international competition since 1985, a 28 long years of fruitless endeavor. As a hoops mad nation, getting over the hump is a welcome relief everyone relishes. Heartbreaks includes 2011 FIBA Asia Championship, 2010 Asian Games, 2009 FIBA Asia Championship, 2002 Asian Games, 1998 Asian Games, 1987 Asian Basketball Confederation Championship, and 1986 Asian Games.

Source: Grantland,GMA News and Interaksyon

Miss Supranational – Mutya Datul
Okay, I know this title is not as popular and prominent as the other three beauty pageants, Miss World, Miss Universe and Miss International but then again when you bested 82 other beauties from different nationalities, it’s something to be proud of.

Never heard or seen her? Here is a glimpse of her beauty. Ganda talaga ng lahi natin ano po? :-) 
photos c/o Raymond Saldana.
Source: Rappler

GDP, best in Asia

Philippines 2nd quarter 2013 GDP grew by 7.5%. Several highlights on this glowing numbers are:
PHILIPPINE ECONOMY POSTS 7.8 PERCENT GDP GROWTH
Source:NSCB
a.    It beat the analysts median forecast of 7.2%.
b.    This is the 4th consecutive quarter that the GDP expanded by at least 7%.
c.    The highest among ASEAN nations.
d.    It matched China’s GDP, highest in Asia.
e.    The composition of the growth points towards the process of rebalancing; from being a consumption led economy to investment-led and industrialized.

It wasn’t too long ago when Philippines was tagged as the “sick man” of Asia. Today, analysts and investors alike are singing a different tune. Philippines is Asia’s newest bright spot. Philippines is Asia’s Rising Economic Star. The strong man of Asia. Philippines is the investors’ darling in Asia, its economy shines amid a backdrop of slower growth in the global economy. 

HSBC predicted Philippines to become the 16th largest economy by 2050 with an average growth of 7% until 2050.

Source: NEDA, Inquirer


PSE, 3rd Best Performing Stock Market

Paris-based World Federation of Exchanges (WFE) recognized Philippine Stock Exchange as the 3rd best performing stock for the year 2012. It follows Turkey and Thailand respectively.

The PSE was recognized after it gained 38.9% in market capitalization. The value turnover increased by 25.3% in 2012, 3rd best in the world. PSE landed fourth in the expansion of number of trades while it registered fifth highest increase in broader market index.

In 2012, our PSEi recorded 33% gain, enough to land the 10th spot lead by Venezuela’s Index which increased by a whopping 303%.

In 2013, the PSEi still fairs well among the best performing stock market as it gains 20% as of Apr 2013 to land at fifth spot, this time lead by Japan with a gain of 34% year to date.

Source: GMA News, Business Insider, Rediff


Interest Rates at Historic Low

Current interest rate is at 3.5%, the lowest rate in history since data were compiled.
Recently, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas kept the interest rate at 3.5% to support GDP growth.

The interest rate refers to the central bank benchmark interest rate. Usually, the central bank benchmark interest rate is the overnight rate at which central banks make loans to the commercial banks under their jurisdiction. Moving the benchmark interest rate, the central bank is able to make an impact on interest rates of commercial banks, inflation level of the country and national currency exchange rate.

Reduction of interest rates should bring increase in business activity, a rise in inflation rate and weakening of national currency. In case of increase in interest rates the level of business activity is likely to drop, inflation declines and national currency strengthens.

Source: BSP,Trading Economics, Bloomberg

Now, A Lender to IMF

For 45 long years, we are an IMF borrower. In 2006, we were able to pay our obligations. This year, we are extending a $1 billion loan to IMF.

We’ve been the recipient of these IMF loans before, it’s time that we turn back the favor and help struggling countries.

Our GIR is at historic levels as dollars from OFWs and BPOs sector increase the net dollar inflow of our country.


First Ever Investment Grade

Philippines never achieved an Investment Grade from the three major credit agencies. Moody’s and S&P started covering Philippines in 1993 while Fitch in 1999. Since these three major credit agencies started covering Philippines credit, we’d never passed the speculative grade. The highest grade we got was a notch below the investment grade.

Until 2013 came. Last March this year, Fitch gave Philippines its first ever investment grade rating. S&P followed suit in May. Moody’s team is expected to follow suit.
Source:Philstar
An investment grade rating would lower debt interest payments, open more credit avenues, and give the country more foreign investments.

Source:SEPO, PhilStar