Showing posts with label Financial Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Financial Analysis. Show all posts

Saturday, July 20, 2013

A Starter for Financial Analysis

Hope+for+the+planet
http://www.flickr.com/photos/26373139@N08/5537894072
Have you ever wondered how an analyst comes up with a fair value of a stock? I don’t know either. That’s why I started to study Financial Statement analysis. Oh yes, I am an accountant by profession and I do analysis every single day of my life. However, the analysis I am doing is quite different from the analysis being performed in the stock market. Part of my routine each day is to analyze the accounts of the companies I am handling. The analysis is confine within the boundaries of the companies I am handling and rarely do I consider the macro perspective of a company. Thus it is imperative for me to sharpen my skills, broaden my knowledge and take the necessary actions to become successful in stock market investing.

Financial analysis is the process of examining a company’s performance in the context of its industry and economic environment in order to arrive at a decision or recommendation.

An investor who buys stocks in the stock market is called an equity investor. In the same way, if an investor buys a stock in a private company (not listed in the stock market), he is still called an equity investor. The common denominator in this type of investors is that they are buying stocks of a company. Before buying a stock, an investor engages the services of a financial analyst to determine the price he shall pay for the shares. The analyst shall look at the capability of the company to pay dividends and grow its operations profitably.

A debt investor on the other hand is someone who lent his money to a corporation with the intention of getting back the principal plus interest. He is concerned on the capability of the company to repay its principal and plus the interest.

Nokia+5800+XpressMusic
http://www.flickr.com/photos/48889057888@N01/4291307654
Whether you are a debt investor or an equity investor, you should make your due diligence before coming up with a decision. Part of the due diligence you are going to make is evaluating the financial statements of the company. The financial statements are composed of the following: Balance Sheet, Income Statement, Cashflow Statement, Statement of Changes in Equity and the notes to the financial statements. Every year, a company must submit the audited financial statements to the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE). In the Philippines, a publicly listed company must submit the Audited Annual Financial Statements and Quarterly Financial Reports. In addition, a publicly listed company must submit Corporate Governance Report, Quarterly Public Ownership Report, Quarterly Top 100 Stockholders, Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership of Securities, Changes in Shareholdings of Director and other information required by PSE. These financial reports and other information can be found in PSE (www.pse.com.ph) or company’s website. This information will form as the foundation of your research and analysis of a company.

Outside information are as necessary as the basic data provided by the PSE in order to arrive at a recommendation or decision.  These include the economy, industry, and comparable peer companies. For Philippine stocks, it is very common to compare a company against its regional peers (Asia).  Economic statistics can be gathered from the websites of various government agencies while industry date can be taken from industry publications.


Thursday, June 7, 2012

Philippine Estates Corporation (PHES) – Non Current Assets Analysis


Noncurrent Trade Receivables and Advances to Related Parties comprises the big bulk of the Noncurrent Assets at 86% of Total Non Current Assets of Philippine Estates Corporation (PHES) for the Y2011, thus we will focus on these two accounts.

Non Current Assets (in millions)
 Y2011
 Y2010
Diff
 Horizontal  %
Noncurrent Trade Receivables
148.6
266.3
                   (117.70)
-44%
Advances to Related Parties
365.9
345.8
                        20.09
6%
Investment Property
1.1
1.1
                               -  
0%
Property and Equipment
56.5
0.1
                        56.41
60950%
Deferred Tax Assets
15.5
15.3
                          0.18
1%
Other Assets
7.7
9.8
                        (2.13)
-22%
 Non Current Assets
595.2
638.4
-43
-7%

Noncurrent Trade Receivables – is 25% of the total noncurrent assets. It decreased by 44% in Y2011. The decrease as discussed in the current ratio blog is that portion of the non current receivables in Y2010 became current and collectible in Y2011. (See Current Ratio) All installment contract receivables are secured by mortgage on the property purchased by the buyer with an 18% to 21% interest. I think PHES is offering buyers with In-house financing with the interest rates mentioned above. The past due over 121 days is 56% of the total trade receivables (current/noncurrent) which is very uncomfortable for an investor like me. This must be reduced significantly by improving collection systems and if possible, factor the receivables (selling of receivables to others). This is one aspect of the financial statements I must monitor on the next periods to see if the collections have been improving.

Advances to Related Parties- is 61% of the total noncurrent assets. It increased by 6% in Y2011. Its balance of 366 million pesos is the biggest noncurrent asset account. According to the Annual FS submitted to PSE, the recoverability of specific receivables and advances to related parties is evaluated based on the best available facts and circumstances, the length of the Group’s relationship with its debtors, the debtors’ payment behavior and know market factors. These specific reserves are reevaluated and adjusted as additional information received affects the amount estimated to be uncollectible.

PHES is loaning its affiliates with interest. In fact, in Y2011 the interest income it generated from its affiliates is 11.3 million which makes up for 60% of Other Income.

Advances to related parties (in millions)
 Y2011
 Impairment
Y2011 Net
 %
Plastic City Corp
160.0
22.5
                        137.5
38%
Forum Holdings Corp
71.6
9.7
                          61.8
17%
International Polymer Corp.
61.9
6.7
                          55.3
15%
Orient Pacific Corp.
32.4
3.2
                          29.2
8%
Kennex Container Corp
27.0
3.6
                          23.4
6%
Heritage Pacific Corp.
20.4
2.8
                          17.7
5%
Noble Arch Realty and
Construction
16.6
2.3
                          14.2
4%
Metro Alliance Holdings and
Equity Corporation
16.6
2.4
                          14.2
4%
Pacific Rehouse Corp.
13.2
1.4
                          11.8
3%
Rexlon Industrial Corp
0.0
0.0
                            0.0
0%
Weltex Industries Corp.
0.1
0.0
                            0.1
0%
Waterfront Cebu City Hotel
0.0
0.0
                               -  
0%
Bataan Polyethylene Corp.
0.2
0.2
                            0.0
0%
Ropeman International Corp.
0.6
0.0
                            0.6
0%
 Advances to related parties (in millions)
420.5
54.7
365.9
100%

Though some of the Group’s advances to and installment contracts receivable have no significant movements during the year, management is confident that these are collectible in full.

Advances to related parties (in millions)
 Remarks
Plastic City Corp
Payment is 21,475 sq.m. Plastic City property with value at P6,450/sq.m = 138.5 million
Forum Holdings Corp
secured by Pacific Rehouse Properties,fairvalue of 219 million
International Polymer Corp.
secured by Pacific Rehouse Properties
Orient Pacific Corp.
secured by Pacific Rehouse Properties
Kennex Container Corp
secured by Pacific Rehouse Properties
Heritage Pacific Corp.
secured by Pacific Rehouse Properties
Pacific Rehouse Corp.
secured by Pacific Rehouse Properties
Noble Arch Realty and
Construction
16,000 square meter in Valenzuela


Most of the advances are secured by properties. These properties can be used by the Company for their real estate projects.

Summary:
Noncurrent Trade Receivables is 25% of the total noncurrent assets at 148.6 million pesos. It decreased by 44% in Y2011. The decrease as discussed in the current ratio blog is that portion of the non current receivables in Y2010 became current and collectible in Y2011. (See Current RratioThe past due over 121 days is 56% of the total trade receivables (current/noncurrent) which is very uncomfortable for an investor like me.

Advances to Related Parties are 61% of the total noncurrent assets. It increased by 6% in Y2011. Its balance of 366 million pesos is the biggest noncurrent asset account. Most of the advances are secured by properties. These properties can be used by the Company for their real estate projects.